Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241125           1           5          65          23           6        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114257           1           4          62          29           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   2.30156e-07           4          35          52           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             2.25       16.50       60.50       17.50        3.25     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4