Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241113           1           5          64          23           7        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114620           1           4          65          27           3        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   2.33847e-07           4          33          54           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             2.25       17.00       61.00       16.50        3.25     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B8.3