Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246914           1           4          52          38           5        C7.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119268           1           1          62          34           2        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   3.69805e-07           1           4          79          16           0        C2.9
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             1.75       11.00       61.75       23.25        2.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2