Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00250537           3           2          68          21           6        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122367           1           3          62          31           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   3.85181e-07           1           4          79          16           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             2.25        7.50       68.00       19.25        3.00     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      B8.6