Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241991           1           2          64          27           6        C5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113730           1           4          62          30           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   2.63517e-07           1          30          62           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       60.0000           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             1.00       13.75       62.25       20.50        2.50     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      B7.4