Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240070           1           6          64          22           7        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109170           4           3          71          21           1        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   2.74916e-07           2          32          60           6           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =       56.0000           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.25       15.00       64.25       16.25        2.25     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3