Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237804           1           7          66          20           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102879           1          15          63          16           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.01600e-07           3          14          74           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             2.25       14.25       66.50       13.50        3.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5