Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240816           1           6          65          23           5        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105627           3           4          65          19           9        C3.9
GOES Xray  =   3.53340e-07           3           4          77          16           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             2.50        5.25       69.25       19.25        3.75     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1