Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241451           1           3          62          27           7        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106464           3           5          69          17           6        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   4.23354e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.00        3.75       68.75       21.75        4.75     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5