Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244029           1           1          63          33           2        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109002           4           3          72          20           1        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   5.31482e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       88.0000           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.50        1.25       68.25       26.75        2.25     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9