Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247604           1           3          52          38           6        C8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111631           3           4          62          29           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   4.67677e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =       66.0000           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             2.25        3.75       64.75       26.75        2.50     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7