Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243210           1           0          67          28           4        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108124           2           3          74          18           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   3.87806e-07           1           3          78          18           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             0.75        6.25       71.75       19.25        2.00     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4