Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242132           1           2          61          30           6        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107353           3           4          72          18           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   3.51530e-07           3           4          76          17           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             1.50        7.25       69.25       19.50        2.50     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8