Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243029           1           0          67          28           4        C6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108789           3           3          71          21           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   4.13436e-07           1           2          79          16           2        C2.7
est. ISN   =       57.0000           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.25        6.75       69.75       20.00        2.25     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C8.5