Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242612           1           0          63          30           6        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106669           3           4          70          18           5        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   3.60706e-07           3           5          74          18           0        C2.7
est. ISN   =       46.0000           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             2.50        8.50       67.00       18.50        3.50     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4