Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239700           1           5          68          21           5        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108197           2           3          74          18           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   2.85770e-07           2          25          66           7           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       53.0000           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50       12.50       67.75       16.00        2.25     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      B4.4