Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237827           1           7          66          20           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106801           3           4          70          18           5        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   2.40090e-07           3          32          56           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.00       15.25       64.25       15.50        3.00     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0