Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237659           1           7          66          22           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106282           3           4          70          17           6        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   2.33653e-07           4          33          53          10           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             3.00       18.00       62.25       14.00        2.75     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4