Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237900           1           5          67          21           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106400           3           5          69          17           6        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   2.73000e-07           1          34          58           7           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       44.0000           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.25       18.00       63.50       13.00        3.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8