Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238237           1           6          69          18           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106616           3           4          69          19           5        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   3.14978e-07           3          11          75          11           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       57.0000           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.25       10.25       68.75       15.75        3.00     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2