Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241824           1           2          65          26           6        C5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114055           1           4          63          29           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   2.76064e-07           2          32          60           6           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             1.00       13.75       64.25       18.50        2.50     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C6.5