Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242656           1           0          63          31           5        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113846           1           4          63          29           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   2.90318e-07           2          22          68           8           0        C1.7
est. ISN   =       39.0000           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             1.75       18.75       58.75       18.50        2.25     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2