Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242300           1           1          61          31           6        C6.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114927           1           3          65          27           4        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   2.66863e-07           1          30          62           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       51.0000           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             0.25       13.50       64.00       19.50        2.75     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3