Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236457           2          14          60          20           4        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107095           3           4          72          18           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   2.15124e-07           2          42          50           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       54.0000           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             2.25       19.75       61.00       15.25        1.75     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B9.3