Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234452           5          11          63          19           2        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102866           2          15          62          16           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   2.09516e-07           2          44          47           7           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       54.0000           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             2.75       22.25       58.50       14.75        1.75     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      B4.2