Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234700           5          10          59          23           3        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102500           3          14          63          16           4        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   2.43000e-07           3          35          53           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       31.0000           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             4.00       26.50       53.75       14.00        1.75     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      B3.3