Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235700           3          12          57          25           3        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103500           1          14          63          15           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   2.86000e-07           2          24          67           7           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             2.50       18.75       62.00       13.50        3.25     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      B4.4