Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236745           2          12          58          23           5        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104561           3          10          62          17           8        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   3.29225e-07           4           9          73          14           0        C2.2
est. ISN   =       60.0000           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             3.00       12.00       63.50       18.00        3.50     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C5.4