Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230430           1          20          58          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000971742           3          17          54          22           4        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.83825e-07           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       64.0000           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             3.75       23.00       52.50       18.50        2.25     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)