Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228453           3          26          61          10           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000949719           2          16          52          27           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   1.47191e-07          13          61          25           1           0        B6.6
est. ISN   =       47.0000           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             5.50       31.50       50.00       11.75        1.25     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      B8.1