Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227178           2          32          53          13           0        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000927033           1          19          54          24           2        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.41763e-07           8          65          26           1           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       33.0000           7          48          32          13           0        B8.9
 
together                             4.50       41.00       41.25       12.75        0.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0