Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225114           6          42          46           6           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000901400           2          28          51          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   1.27019e-07           6          61          32           1           0        B6.0
est. ISN   =       26.0000           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                             5.25       46.00       40.75        7.25        0.75     B9.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.2