Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223902           5          48          41           6           0        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000889275           2          35          50          12           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   1.15350e-07           7          59          32           2           0        B5.8
est. ISN   =       37.0000           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             5.00       47.75       39.50        7.50        0.25     B9.2
 
realized                                                                                      B2.1