Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225978           5          38          46          11           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000888895           2          35          50          12           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   1.47643e-07          12          60          26           2           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       36.0000           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             6.50       46.25       38.25        8.75        0.25     B9.5
 
realized                                                                                      B5.3