Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218228          19          51          29           1           0        B4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000766165          14          43          35           8           0        B7.2
GOES Xray  =   7.34679e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.0
est. ISN   =       25.0000           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            12.75       54.25       28.75        4.25        0.00     B4.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)