Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218646          17          50          32           1           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000776175          14          46          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   6.82152e-08          13          68          18           1           0        B2.7
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                            12.50       52.00       31.50        3.75        0.25     B5.7
 
realized                                                                                      B1.3