Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220061           9          43          41           7           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000791161          14          48          33           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   9.82948e-08           7          60          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =       22.0000           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             9.50       51.25       34.25        5.00        0.00     B6.5
 
realized                                                                                      B1.9