Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219231          13          45          38           4           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000784184          12          48          33           7           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   7.92328e-08           8          68          21           3           0        B3.7
est. ISN   =       8.00000          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            20.75       50.50       25.25        3.50        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.0