Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218694          14          49          34           3           0        B6.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000764194          14          42          37           7           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   7.51864e-08          11          68          19           2           0        B3.1
est. ISN   =       30.0000           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                            11.00       51.25       32.75        5.00        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.4