Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00221590           5          43          43           9           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000789901          13          49          33           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.29775e-07           6          60          33           1           0        B6.5
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             7.00       44.25       42.50        5.50        0.75     B9.3
 
realized                                                                                      C5.6