Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233057           2          15          63          18           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000892677           2          34          49          13           2        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   3.90067e-07           1           3          75          20           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =       52.0000           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.50       17.50       63.00       16.50        1.50     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1