Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238842           2           3          68          21           6        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000976094           3          17          55          21           4        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.78216e-07           1           5          77          17           0        C3.1
est. ISN   =       70.0000           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             1.50        7.25       67.00       21.25        3.00     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4