Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240945           1           6          64          23           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000987523           3          15          58          19           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   4.51305e-07           2           1          81          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       82.0000           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             2.00        5.75       65.25       22.25        4.75     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C7.0