Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239176           1           4          72          18           5        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103328           1          14          65          13           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   3.05853e-07           4          11          76           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       76.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.75        9.50       68.00       17.00        3.75     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8