Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238390           2           5          70          17           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103515           2          14          62          15           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   3.01073e-07           3          15          73           9           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =       83.0000           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             2.00        8.75       65.75       18.75        4.75     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1