Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240586           1           6          63          23           7        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105097           3           8          66          16           7        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   4.16209e-07           1           2          79          16           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =       89.0000           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.25        4.25       70.75       18.75        5.00     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7