Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235330           4          13          57          23           3        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000985224           4          14          59          18           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   3.36662e-07           3           6          76          15           0        C2.3
est. ISN   =       86.0000           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             3.00        8.25       63.25       22.00        3.50     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5