Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229477           1          21          62          15           1        C2.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000957056           3          15          56          23           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   1.87624e-07           6          46          39           9           0        B9.6
est. ISN   =       46.0000           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             3.50       26.50       54.50       13.75        1.75     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2