Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229120           1          24          62          12           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000939141           1          15          56          25           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   1.81925e-07           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       38.0000           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             3.50       33.50       48.75       13.25        1.00     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      M2.5