Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225038           6          44          45           5           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000883979           1          34          54          11           0        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   1.31451e-07           6          60          33           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =       30.0000           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                             4.50       46.00       43.25        6.25        0.00     B9.8
 
realized                                                                                      B6.9